Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.041263 0.044673 0.048261 0.052324 0.056803 0.061599 0.067131
2025-03-09 0.035459 0.040206 0.045484 0.051814 0.059227 0.067673 0.078077
2025-03-16 0.031266 0.036679 0.042951 0.050803 0.060439 0.071963 0.086920
2025-03-23 0.028398 0.034236 0.041228 0.050298 0.061865 0.076276 0.095833
2025-03-30 0.026136 0.032238 0.039753 0.049798 0.063042 0.080141 0.104278
2025-04-06 0.024041 0.030234 0.038044 0.048757 0.063292 0.082654 0.110958
2025-04-13 0.022901 0.029337 0.037640 0.049318 0.065612 0.087994 0.121872
2025-04-20 0.021698 0.028253 0.036882 0.049292 0.067051 0.092135 0.131336
2025-04-27 0.020875 0.027609 0.036647 0.049929 0.069410 0.097692 0.143320
2025-05-04 0.019836 0.026595 0.035822 0.049642 0.070361 0.101190 0.152378
2025-05-11 0.018932 0.025710 0.035111 0.049450 0.071398 0.104837 0.161928
2025-05-18 0.018074 0.024836 0.034357 0.049124 0.072177 0.108091 0.171064
2025-05-25 0.017356 0.024135 0.033823 0.049107 0.073447 0.112248 0.182180
2025-06-01 0.016495 0.023181 0.032862 0.048369 0.073512 0.114431 0.190053
2025-06-08 0.015635 0.022184 0.031784 0.047377 0.073081 0.115726 0.196415
2025-06-15 0.014972 0.021450 0.031062 0.046898 0.073447 0.118372 0.205466
2025-06-22 0.014361 0.020766 0.030379 0.046435 0.073793 0.120982 0.214660
2025-06-29 0.013677 0.019936 0.029429 0.045476 0.073216 0.121889 0.220600
2025-07-06 0.013374 0.019685 0.029374 0.045992 0.075224 0.127592 0.236613
2025-07-13 0.012972 0.019257 0.029015 0.045968 0.076263 0.131568 0.249489
2025-07-20 0.012722 0.019061 0.029016 0.046554 0.078429 0.137816 0.267784
2025-07-27 0.012312 0.018589 0.028545 0.046290 0.079008 0.141038 0.279869
2025-08-03 0.011943 0.018168 0.028137 0.046113 0.079731 0.144582 0.293030